Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.070529 0.078243 0.086712 0.096748 0.108374 0.121492 0.137516
2024-10-06 0.059611 0.070190 0.082777 0.099052 0.119828 0.145871 0.181652
2024-10-13 0.050618 0.062271 0.076996 0.097372 0.125510 0.164064 0.222891
2024-10-20 0.045168 0.057604 0.074129 0.098370 0.134265 0.187661 0.277857
2024-10-27 0.040519 0.053178 0.070693 0.097655 0.140018 0.207765 0.333426
2024-11-03 0.037433 0.050405 0.069021 0.098985 0.148789 0.234284 0.408792
2024-11-10 0.034872 0.048018 0.067500 0.100135 0.157256 0.262114 0.497373
2024-11-17 0.032368 0.045408 0.065263 0.099679 0.162700 0.285576 0.586794
2024-11-24 0.030570 0.043663 0.064130 0.100823 0.171136 0.317049 0.710569
2024-12-01 0.029013 0.042126 0.063127 0.101983 0.179741 0.351271 0.861358
2024-12-08 0.027589 0.040659 0.062059 0.102828 0.187818 0.386720 1.039624
2024-12-15 0.026156 0.039050 0.060574 0.102653 0.193664 0.418609 1.230786
2024-12-22 0.024665 0.037254 0.058639 0.101443 0.197238 0.446590 1.435840
2024-12-29 0.023814 0.036473 0.058431 0.103665 0.209261 0.502800 1.823161
2025-01-05 0.022479 0.034757 0.056368 0.101787 0.211039 0.529613 2.106790
2025-01-12 0.021641 0.033848 0.055713 0.102805 0.220362 0.584569 2.633311
2025-01-19 0.020656 0.032608 0.054320 0.102030 0.224853 0.625500 3.152760
2025-01-26 0.020004 0.031920 0.053926 0.103431 0.235647 0.694994 4.056023
2025-02-02 0.019380 0.031237 0.053478 0.104648 0.246261 0.770122 5.259141
2025-02-09 0.018625 0.030263 0.052369 0.104163 0.251767 0.827504 6.515809
2025-02-16 0.018093 0.029670 0.051982 0.105375 0.262874 0.917793 8.698325
2025-02-23 0.017596 0.029113 0.051620 0.106604 0.274435 1.019300 11.871492
2025-03-02 0.017100 0.028527 0.051150 0.107500 0.285200 1.125937 16.373145